Lays Any Other Home/Away (AOH/AOA) pre-kickoff. If no goal by minute 35-50, hedges at improved price. Contingency lays on underdog goals only. Based on Bryn's proven methodology (91% win rate on L1).
Rules
- ▪ L1: Lay AOH/AOA pre-KO, max odds 18, min liquidity £2K
- ▪ G1 hedge: 35-50 min window, 0-0 at 35 = WAIT
- ▪ Contingency: Only fires when UNDERDOG scores
- ▪ 50 minute hard stop on all positions
- ▪ 0-0 drip lays at halftime (50% cap)
Edge
AOH/AOA covers extreme scorelines (4-0, 5-1 etc). Time decay works in our favour. 91% L1 win rate verified from Bryn's 535 trades.
Trades
4
Wins
4
Losses
0
Win Rate
100%
P&L
+£7.30
ROI
85.3%
Equity Curve
Trades
All →| Date | Match | League | HT | FT | Strategy | Odds | Stake | P&L | Exit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar | Swindon v Fleetwood Town | GB | 0-0 | 0-0 | asp_l1_aoh | 15.50 | £2.04 | +2.04 | settled ft |
| 28 Mar | Wycombe v Port Vale | GB | 0-0 | 0-0 | asp_l1_aoh | 8.40 | £4.00 | +4.00 | settled ft |
| 26 Mar | Wales v Bosnia | — | — | 1-1 | asp_l1_aoh | 11.00 | £1.31 | +0.66 | settled ft |
| 26 Mar | Gibraltar v Latvia | — | — | 0-1 | asp_l1_aoa | 12.00 | £1.21 | +0.60 | settled ft |
Decision Journal
Full journal →Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Largo FC v Danubio
Cerro Largo FC v Danubio
Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta
RELAXED tier — Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta
Albacete v CD Castellon
Albacete v CD Castellon
Malaga v Leganes
Malaga v Leganes
Swindon v Fleetwood Town
Wycombe v Port Vale
Wycombe v Port Vale
F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=55.9% → +3.0 (goal likely)
F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=55.9% → +3.0 (goal likely)
Swindon v Fleetwood Town
trigger=COMBINED FT=0-0 entry=15.5
entry=15.5 stake=£2.04 green_stake=£1.37 score=0-0
F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F3: stats drought — 0-0 FT risk elevated (-8); F_ev: p_goal_ht=61.3% → +5.6 (goal likely)
F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=62.7% → +6.4 (goal likely)
F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F3: stats drought — 0-0 FT risk elevated (-8); F_ev: p_goal_ht=61.3% → +5.6 (goal likely)